Early detection of type 2 diabetes mellitus using machine learning-based prediction models

Abstract

There is a need of ensuring machine learning models that are interpretable. Higher interpretability of the model means easier comprehension and explanation of future predictions for end-users. Further, interpretable machine learning models allow healthcare experts to make reasonable and data-driven decisions to provide personalized decisions that can ultimately lead to higher quality of service in healthcare. Generally, we can classify interpretability approaches in two groups where the first focuses on personalized interpretation (local interpretability) while the second summarizes prediction models on a population level (global interpretability). Alternatively, we can group interpretability methods into model-specific techniques, which are designed to interpret predictions generated by a specific model, such as a neural network, and model-agnostic approaches, which provide easy-to-understand explanations of predictions made by any machine learning model. Here, we give an overview of interpretability approaches and provide examples of practical interpretability of machine learning in different areas of healthcare, including prediction of health-related outcomes, optimizing treatments or improving the efficiency of screening for specific conditions. Further, we outline future directions for interpretable machine learning and highlight the importance of developing algorithmic solutions that can enable machine-learning driven decision making in high-stakes healthcare problems.

Publication
Scientific Reports, 10, p. 11981
Leon Kopitar
Leon Kopitar
PhD student

Leon Kopitar is a senior researcher at the Faculty of health sciences, University of Maribor, Maribor, Slovenia, and a PhD student at The Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Maribor, Maribor, Slovenia. His research interest includes the applicability of machine learning methods in the healthcare domain.

Primož Kocbek
Primož Kocbek
PhD Student

My research interests include statistical models and machine learning techniques with applications in healthcare. My specific areas of interest include temporal data analysis, interpretability of prediction models, stability of algorithms, advanced machine learning methods on massive datasets, e.g. deep neural networks.

Leona Cilar Budler
Leona Cilar Budler
PhD

My research interests include mental health, nursing research, and health informatics. Specific areas of interest include adolescent mental health, psychometric testing of questionnaires, questionnaire localization, and quantitative data analysis.

Aziz Sheikh
Aziz Sheikh
Chair of Primary Care Research and Development
Gregor Štiglic
Gregor Štiglic
Associate Professor and head of Research Institute

My research interests include predictive models in healthcare, interpretability of complex models.

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